Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000016
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000020
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000035
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000042
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027 0.000049
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000029 0.000056
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031 0.000064
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000034 0.000074
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000019 0.000037 0.000087
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000019 0.000039 0.000096
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000042 0.000110
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045 0.000124
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000049 0.000145
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000056 0.000181
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000061 0.000211
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000024 0.000067 0.000252
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000025 0.000073 0.000295
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000025 0.000077 0.000332
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000026 0.000081 0.000375
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000026 0.000087 0.000437